Eskander’s Betstar Week 13 NFL Betting Advice
So you might have worked out by now, through our regular NBA and NFL blogs and our weekly radio show (Betstars & Stripes, 8pm Sunday on SEN) that we quite like our US sports. So it will come as little surprise to you that we are the home of the best NFL promo Australia has ever seen, lobbing this week.
What is this promo, you might ask? How about our $2 favourites, which punters have lapped up on both the AFL and NRL in the past. The formula is very simple; for the first 500 bets per game, you can get the favourite at $2 (max bet $50). These land at 10am Sunday, so don’t be slow – click here to get a bet on.
CAN THE BUCS SPRING AN UPSET IN DENVER?
Last start, the Bucs were unlucky in going down to the Falcons by one point, while the Broncos were unconvincing in defeating the Chiefs, yet still got the job done.
The Broncos (8-3) have strolled clear in the AFC West, with a four game buffer on nearest rival San Diego. In contrast, if the playoffs started today, the 6-5 Bucs would be left out of the party, as they would lose the tiebreaker to Seattle based on their record in conference games.
The early money here has all been for the Broncos, backed $1.35-$1.27, with the line at a flat 8. The Bucs ($3.70) have been almost entirely friendless; punters just don’t have the faith in them to make the step up in class, but we think that the 8 point line is far too big.
There is so much for the Buccaneers to play for here, and they really are still a realistic playoff hope. They face Philly in Week 14 (write that down as a win), then finish up with winnable games against the Saints, Rams and a likely half-strength Atlanta.
The Broncos may be red hot, with six straight wins and a .800 record at home this season, but we don’t see a blowout here, and with TB running back Doug Martin in ridiculously good form, we feel that the Bucs can make some inroads into a Broncos defense that has allowed just 15.3 points per game the last three weeks. Can they win the game? That we don’t know, but 8 points seems a massive buffer.
Have a look at the Buccaneers at the plus (+8.0 @ $1.76), with this game live on One HD at 8:05am Monday
RG 3 HOLDS THE KEYS
What an absolute corker of a game Monday Night Football promises to be, with the Redskins and Giants clashing with the NFC East title at stake.
If New York wins, it can extend its division lead over the ‘Skins and take another step toward winning the division. A Washington victory would put them a step closer to entering the playoff conversation, as they currently find themselves behind the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Minnesota Vikings for a wild-card spot.
This one is all about the clash of the QBs, Robert Griffin III and Eli Manning. RGIII is arguably the league’s most exciting player- you don’t get Jerry Jones talking you up without showing you are the real deal! He has thrown eight touchdowns and over 500 yards in the last two games, and almost beat the Giants single handedly when they met earlier this year.
Remember that game? It looked like a shock loss, but the class of the Giants shone through in the end, with a 77 yard touchdown to Victor Cruz with less than 90 seconds remaining getting the reigning champs home to a four point victory.
The Giants are flying at the moment, handing Aaron Rodgers’ pack a pummelling last week, but let’s not forget that the Redskins are coming off a ten day break following a big win on Thanksgiving against the Cowboys.
There will be points in this one, make no mistake!
We like the Over 51.0 @ $1.93, and think that with the throwing prowess of both QBs, it could be much more than that.
SUPER BOWL FUTURES MARKET
As we head into the business end of the season, the Super Bowl market sees the favourites getting shorter yet and the stragglers dropping off.
The Texans have moved into the shortest price of the season, $5, following their last-gasp win in Detroit, while the 49ers have leapfrogged the Pats into second favouritism at $6. The Pats were at their destructive best against the Jets, winning by 30 points, and look huge value at $6.50, yet relatively friendless with punters.
The Broncos are next at $7, and the Falcons have been wound into $9.50 to round out the 5 single figure chances. The Packers’ big loss to the Giants sees them drift from $8.50 to $11, the same price as their conquerors who have come in from $17. Baltimore weren’t great against San Diego and are $14, with the Bears coming in slightly to $15.
The Steelers continue to be on the nose, and with Big Ben missing again this week will drift further if they lose to the Ravens – they are currently $31. The Saints and Seahawks are also drifting, to $41, while surprise packet Indianapolis move into a season-high $55.
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